Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 15.170049 17.713607 20.485273 23.721074 27.385876 31.398417 36.114529
2025-02-16 10.485995 13.861474 17.930176 23.152138 29.628301 37.344888 47.178579
2025-02-23 7.836208 11.467634 16.215526 22.778515 31.500636 42.567305 57.522956
2025-03-02 6.162385 9.847907 15.012354 22.606503 33.284524 47.530669 67.691783
2025-03-09 4.969502 8.602423 14.019295 22.429268 34.843726 52.127506 77.549428
2025-03-16 3.785567 7.105549 12.372835 20.998378 34.342896 53.689678 83.195555
2025-03-23 3.314187 6.649806 12.216120 21.728815 37.000835 59.851660 95.687483
2025-03-30 2.986000 6.369200 12.279713 22.773846 40.181730 66.956735 109.974237
2025-04-06 2.470144 5.641167 11.468586 22.254558 40.787411 70.142297 118.524173
2025-04-13 1.970954 4.838086 10.393106 21.124669 40.235535 71.413286 124.124096
2025-04-20 1.829184 4.736756 10.592693 22.261523 43.580197 79.095767 140.225477
2025-04-27 1.742883 4.737585 10.982782 23.775059 47.679856 88.240789 159.151968
2025-05-04 1.508949 4.376924 10.640499 23.942541 49.539512 94.010418 173.326098
2025-05-11 1.281620 3.984261 10.181243 23.846294 50.947666 99.181858 186.969293
2025-05-18 1.076905 3.595236 9.662435 23.555490 51.946343 103.688043 199.739431
2025-05-25 0.914326 3.273849 9.237776 23.396336 53.161713 108.629943 213.515683
2025-06-01 0.776562 2.983113 8.832071 23.217251 54.301397 113.480562 227.372443
2025-06-08 0.599941 2.516986 7.906134 21.743773 52.651225 113.018216 231.650718
2025-06-15 0.547182 2.433808 7.945322 22.496471 55.693129 121.592265 252.816164
2025-06-22 0.511960 2.401066 8.113544 23.573015 59.507135 131.863729 277.616637
2025-06-29 0.425539 2.154507 7.646616 23.038111 59.762792 135.191611 289.578153
2025-07-06 0.335423 1.856539 6.968979 21.874053 58.495609 135.387457 295.568272
2025-07-13 0.319237 1.856015 7.182355 23.045288 62.635324 146.737662 323.579766